Jim Lengthy Pork Commentary, Lean Hog Costs Surge Greater, October twenty fourth 2022 – Swineweb.com


  • Friday to Friday, December lean hog futures had been $6.88, and February up $7.10. A $15 per head achieve.
  • Now we have written a number of weeks in a row that summer season lean hog futures within the mid-’90s had been borderline insane. Friday, June, July, and August closed $1.03 – $1.04. Proper course however a great distance from the plus $1.20 we count on to see.
  • Final week’s U.S. Pork Export Gross sales report indicated 40,800 metric tonnes of pork offered. The best weekly gross sales since March of this yr. The final 4 weeks have averaged 35,000 metric tonnes. After weeks upon weeks this summer season round 20,000 tonne common. The rise in export gross sales is supporting Hog Costs close to a $1.00 lb. We count on as China and Europe’s hog manufacturing continues to say no the world’s pork importers should chase and pay extra for pork.


Within the U.S. the federal government releases oil reserves to curb inflation. In China, the federal government releases pork reserves to curb inflation. Clearly, pork is extra essential in China than within the U.S. Doubt if U.S. authorities leaders even know the worth of pork, recognition of the significance of the U.S. pork business could be seen of their reneging of CFAP 1 top-up funds. The identical CFAP 1 top-up they paid to corn producers, the business of $ 7.00-bushel corn.

The China hog value continues to rise regardless of the discharge of pork reserves. As we’ve got written for months the billions of {dollars} misplaced by China’s business from July 2021 to Could 2022 was resulting in huge sow herd liquidation. It did. This previous week China’s hog value averaged 28.46 RMB/kg ($1.77 U.S liveweight lb.), on April 1 it was 89¢ lb. U.S. On the primary of September, the worth was $1.47. Regardless of a number of China releases of pork reserves, the worth has risen 30¢ lb. or $80 per head. We count on big quantities of pork to go to China to fill the void of the large lower in pork manufacturing.


U.S. stronger lean hog futures, money hogs, and export gross sales are a mirrored image of the decline in U.S. and world manufacturing. Traditionally the hog cycle has subsequent to no correlation to macro-economic circumstances i.e., inflation, rates of interest, and unemployment. We count on hog costs will attain new highs as we transfer into 2023 from lack of home and world provide.

A Passing of a Large

On October 10 William (Invoice) Prestage handed away from COVID points, he was 87.

Invoice Prestage began as a feed salesman in Michigan, he moved his household to North Carolina. Fashioned a partnership with Otis Carroll, then they constructed a big turkey and swine firm. After Otis handed away in 1982, Invoice offered his curiosity and began Prestage Farms producing Turkeys and Swine.

The Prestage Farms and Prestage Meals household of firms has 5 divisions throughout seven states with three processing crops collectively using greater than 2,300 workers and contracting with over 450 farm households. Prestage Corporations produce 1.4 billion kilos of pork and turkey yearly. Prestage has 178,000 sows on the Genesus World Mega Producer checklist.

Some time in the past I used to be in Prestage Company workplace in North Carolina. An workplace becoming for certainly one of America’s largest family-owned meat protein firms. Within the workplace, the fact of Prestage being a household enterprise is clear with giant photos of the Prestage household within the entrance and lobby. Invoice and his spouse Marsha, 3 sons, and 5 grandchildren are actively engaged within the enterprise. A legacy that any patriarch and matriarch of a household enterprise would treasure. In farming one of many strengths and advantages of our business is the flexibility to have household of multi-generations working collectively and constructing enterprise that may final for generations.

I by no means met Invoice Prestage however about 35 years in the past he spoke on the Michigan Pork Congress held in Battle Creek, Michigan. Invoice was from Battle Creek so it was a homecoming. Already at the moment, Invoice had constructed a big farming group. I can nonetheless visualize him talking. It was clear, it was constructive, and it was visionary of the way forward for the pig business. A imaginative and prescient that got here to fruition. I’ve heard many audio system however he was one of many few that was memorable.

Invoice Prestage began with subsequent to nothing. His arduous work, imaginative and prescient, and salesmanship put collectively a crew together with his household that has constructed an agriculture empire. Fairly the legacy. A large in our time.

The next hyperlink tells a extra full story of William (Invoice) Prestage:



Leave a Comment

Your email address will not be published.